Mathematical models and Wildlife diseases: tecniques of parameters estimation for nematodes infections

R. Rosà, A. Rizzoli, A. Pugliese, C. Genchi


The use of mathematical models in the study of wild host-nematodes interaction is still limited since the estimate of the numerical values of many parameters of the models are usually difficult to be quantified empirically. In this paper we present a technique of parameter estimation based on a mathematical model for macroparasitic infectionsusing a Bayesian updating method. As a case- study we considered a Trichostrongylidae, principally Teladorsagia circumcinta ,infection in a chamois population (Rupicapra rupicapra L.). Using these estimates a value of the basicreproductionratio (R0) equal to 2.4 was obtained.

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Journal of Mountain Ecology
The Journal of Mountain Ecology is an OPEN ACCESS peer reviewed journal published by the Gran Paradiso National Park.